US
US Monetary Policy
Topic
50.0%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 6
Pending: 66
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
If market declines and recession fears escalate, the Federal Reserve will be compelled to provide stimulus.
"If if markets continue tanking and if recessionary fears start creeping up then stimulus will have t..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to pause quantitative tightening. They might be compelled to engage in quantitative easing by purchasing treasury debt, particularly if the debt ceiling is raised, despite their previous statements ruling it out until rates reach zero.
"The Fed has p is going to pause quantitive tightening and um they may be forced to if the if the deb..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
A JP Morgan analyst predicts the Fed may implement an emergency rate cut before their scheduled meeting.
"The Fed could step in for an emergency rate cut before the next meeting."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
Arthur Hayes' analysis suggests that the Fed will eventually resort to money printing and submit to fiscal dominance due to the necessity of monetary stimulus.
"all roads do lead to money printing. And this reminds me of an actual I did an interview over the we..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
Jerome Powell will use recession fears as a justification to cut rates, stop Quantitative Tightening (QT), and start Quantitative Easing (QE).
"if there's this this media Friendzy about recession recession recession then Paul can stand up there..."
Apr 4, 2025
Incorrect
Tariffs might cause the US economy to slow down, leading the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. This, in turn, could allow the US to refinance its debt and boost markets.
"these tariffs could be deflationary and it could cause the US economy to slow down enough to force t..."
Apr 4, 2025
Correct
Donald Trump was predicted to attempt to pressure the Federal Reserve and Jerome Powell to lower interest rates (a prediction the author claims has already come true).
"Trump trump urges Federal Reserve to lower interest rates I told you guys I called this out way befo..."
Mar 24, 2025
Pending
The FOMC meeting on January 29th is a key event that will set the tone for potential rate cuts in the coming year, even though a cut this week is unlikely.
"29th of January two days time it is the FOMC meeting damn straight now there's obviously no chance o..."
Jan 27, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates only twice in 2025, which will contribute to keeping mortgage rates elevated.
"the FED will only cut interest rates twice in 2025 keeping mortgage rates High"
Dec 14, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve will attempt to delay economic issues by dropping interest rates and printing more money, but these actions will exacerbate inflation.
"the fed's going to try and and SC Hold It Off by dropping rates printing some more money and and try..."
Nov 9, 2024
Pending
If Donald Trump wins the US election (2024), there will be a 50-60 day period of intense market volatility between the election result and January 20th, 2025, due to the monetary arm of the government going on 'strike' against him.
"if he gets elected you're Gna have the monetary arm of the government essentially going on strike ag..."
Nov 5, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to print more money and the US will borrow more, increasing its debt at a lower rate, if interest rates become low enough and the US seeks to borrow at a low rate.
"I think when rates become low enough and the US wants to borrow once again to borrow out a very low ..."
Oct 31, 2024
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to near 0% following a manufactured crisis, enabling the US government to refinance its debt at lower rates.
"they're most likely going to do they're going to manufacture a crisis so that the Federal Reserve wi..."
Oct 21, 2024
Incorrect
US Federal Reserve predicted to continue cutting interest rates for the next two years.
"the us although it's not going to go straight into quantitative easing is going to be cutting rates ..."
Sep 16, 2024
Pending
80% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed on Wednesday, September 18, 2024.
"I think there's an 80% chance of 50 basis point cut on Wednesday"
Sep 16, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates as early as their September 2024 meeting.
"a reduction in our policy rate could be on the table as soon as the next meeting in September"
Sep 8, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is likely to implement a rate cut in September 2024.
"we're likely going to get one [rate cut] in a couple in a few weeks"
Sep 2, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve was predicted to implement an 'insurance' rate cut in September 2024 to ensure a soft landing before a recession.
"this year we might get a Fed cut in September... the FED will cut in September but this will be more..."
Aug 16, 2024
Pending
Under a Democratic administration, the Federal Reserve was predicted to implement four rate cuts in 2025.
"They've laid out four cuts for next year they may be able to follow that path."
Aug 16, 2024
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will likely start cutting interest rates in September 2024.
"it really seems like they're probably going to be cutting in September here"
Aug 2, 2024
Pending
Predicted that a Federal Reserve interest rate cut would most likely occur in September 2024.
"my guess is September is going to be the most likely time frame at this point"
Jul 15, 2024
Pending
If Trump's potential policies (tariffs, immigration crackdown, deficit-financed tax cuts) lead to inflation, the Federal Reserve would be forced to hike interest rates.
"Should these policies bring about inflation, the Federal Reserve would have to hike interest rates."
Jul 15, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve will slow quantitative tightening from $60 billion/month to $25 billion/month starting in June 2024, which will be seen as slightly looser monetary policy.
"they've said that they're going to slow quantitative tightening down from like 60 billion or somethi..."
May 7, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve ('the Fed') will be unable to lower interest rates.
"the fake can't lower"
Apr 4, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to eventually pivot (cut rates) following a larger spike in continued unemployment claims, a trend historically seen after continued claims put in higher lows.
"it's only a matter of time before it gets a larger Spike and then the FED ultimately has to Pivot"
Mar 10, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to start cutting interest rates once the US unemployment rate reaches 4%.
"I think whenever the unemployment rate hits 4% that will be sort of a milestone that might that migh..."
Mar 10, 2024
Pending
Loose monetary policy in the US is theoretically predicted to arrive sometime in 2024.
"until loose monetary policy arrives which still theoretically should be sometime this year"
Feb 23, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve will be forced to cut interest rates soon due to increasing national debt and potential recession.
"they will have to cut rates I mean if if you forecast forward the interest on debt it will be three ..."
Feb 5, 2024
Pending